The Climate Center (Cenclim) of the Institute of Meteorology reported that maximum and minimum temperatures in May will be above historical averages. In all three regions of Cuba according to consulted models and expert opinion.
Idelmis González García, head of Cenclim, told the Granma newspaper that rainfall will be below the monthly average in western Cuba. While in central and eastern Cuba it will remain close to normal levels.
May marks the beginning of the rainy season in Cuba. Which ends in October and accounts for 74 percent of the annual rainfall. The rainy season begins first in the eastern region and then spreads westward.
The rainiest months in the country are May, June—the month with the highest annual rainfall total. September, and October, the specialist specified.
González reported that most models predict the development of a new El Niño/Southern Oscillation (ENSO). Event in July in the equatorial Pacific Ocean, with a possible persistence until the end of the year.
Although the magnitude is still uncertain, some forecasts suggest it could be strong. So while the Cuban model predicts its onset in November.
If confirmed, the phenomenon would modify the behavior of the main meteorological variables. Particularly those of the hurricane season, the expert indicated.
The Climate Center is maintaining continuous monitoring of this event and will update its projections accordingly, González emphasized. Also the findings were presented at the XV National Climate Outlook Forum. With the participation of provincial meteorological centers.
With information from CNA
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