A new poll, published in Brazil on October 23rd, shows that the statistical tie between Senator Flávio Bolsonaro and incumbent President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva has persisted. Though with nuanced developments for both candidates.
The Ipespe/Abrapel survey indicates that Bolsonaro—who won the first round—remains ahead in voter preference. However, Lula is showing signs of a recovery, a lower relative rejection rate. An improved public perception regarding his ability to drive change.
In terms of voter preference (based on a provided list of candidates), Bolsonaro holds steady at 48%. While Lula “continues to rise,” moving from 46% to 47%. Regarding valid votes, the senator registers 50.5%, and the president stands at 49.5%.
The study, which surveyed 1,500 voters between October 20th and 22nd, found that 54% of independent voters support Lula. Compared to 37% for Bolsonaro. Within this segment, the Brazilian president has gained 10 percentage points since the first round of runoff-related polling.
Furthermore, seven out of every 10 respondents stated that they will definitely watch the televised debate taking place on October 23rd. Just two days before the second round of the election, in which Brazilians will choose their next head of state.
In the first round, more than 33 million Brazilians abstained from voting, just over 21% compared to approximately 20.5% in 2022.
With information from RT in Spanish
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